Credit indicator, July 2018

Only at national level.

C1 and C2: Monthly. Released approximately 30 days after the reference period.

C3: Quarterly. Preliminary release of credit to non-financial corporations with the industry classification mainland Norway approximately 55 days after the reference period. The complete and final C3 statistics are released approximately 60 days after the reference period.

C2 is included in IMF’s Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS). Data are posted on Statistics Norway’s website under “Economic Indicators".

Collected and published data is stored in SSB's data base.

The credit indicator measures the debt of selected sectors in Norway. The indicator is one of the sources of information the authorities use when they formulate the monetary policy of Norway. The statistics provide an overview of the development of credit at an early stage and is an important indicator of economic activity.

The central bank of Norway (Norges Bank) introduced the credit indicator statistics in the mid-1980s, and such data are available dating back to December 1985. After Statistics Norway took over most of the work involved in collecting and publishing financial statistics from Norges Bank in 2007, the credit indicator statistics, was also transferred to Statistics Norway.

Monetary authorities, i.e. Norges Bank and the Ministry of Finance. Other important users are the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway, the financial markets, research institutions, international organisations, the media as well as students.

No external users have access to the statistics and analyses before they are published and accessible simultaneously for all users on ssb.no at 8 am.  The release date is given with a minimum of three months’ notice in the Statistics Release Calendar. For more information, see Principles for equal treatment of users in releasing statistics and analyses.

The statistics are based on the guidelines in the System of National Accounts (SNA 2008), the European System of Accounts (ESA 2010), the Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual and Compilation Guide (IMF 2016) and the Manual on MFI Balance Sheet Statistics (ECB 2019).

The source data for loans from banks, mortgage companies, state lending institutions and finance companies is the same as in the statistics Finance companies, balance sheet. Loans from life and non-life insurance companies is the same as found in the statistics Life and non-life insurance companies, accounts. Loans from pension funds comes from the statistics Pension funds. Finally, debt securities are obtained from the same source that is used in the statistics for Securities registered with VPS.  

Not relevant.

The statistics is derived without direct Council Directives or Council Regulations from the EU.

Sources included in C2 are loans in NOK and foreign currency to the general public by banks, state lending institutions, finance companies, life and non-life insurance companies, mortgage companies, pension funds, the Norwegian Public Service Pension Fund, Export Credit Norway and Norges Bank. C2 also includes the general public's debt securities with domestic lenders. The owner of a debt security is the lender, while the issuer is the borrower.

C3 is comprised of the sum of C2 and the general public’s external loan debt. The external part of C3 comprises external debt statistics for the main institutional sectors general government, non-financial corporations and households etc. The debt figures comprise external long-term debt such as bond loans, loans from credit institutions, loans from companies within the same group, subordinated loans and short-term debt such as certificates, overdraft facilities, short-term debt to companies within the same group of companies, owners, employees etc. Foreign shareholders in Norwegian companies are not included.

The C2 statistics are derived from the accounting information in ORBOF (Reporting of banks, mortgage companies, state lending institutions and finance companies accounts to the public authorities), FORT (Reporting of life and non-life insurance companies accounts for the public authorities) and PORT (Reporting of pension funds account to the public authorities). The data for the general public's debt securities are derived from statistics for securities registered in the Norwegian CSD (VPS). The Norwegian Public Service Pension Fund and Export Credit Norway also report data for these statistics.

To calculate revaluations due to exchange rate fluctuations we use information on credit volume in different currencies from a quarterly survey of banks in ORBOF. Exchange rates are from the central bank of Norway.

The data on the external loan debt are based on the Balance of Payments Statistics. A new system for collecting and producing data for the balance of payments was established in 2005 after the Norges Bank Foreign Exchange Statistics were discontinued. The most significant change in the data collection process is that Statistics Norway has established new sampling surveys for non-financial and private quasi-corporated public enterprises. The shareholdings of foreign shareholders in Norwegian enterprises, as mentioned above, and “other liabilities” are not included in the general public’s external debt. This is in accordance with the definitions of C1 and C2, neither of which include these financial objects.

Non-financial corporations external loan debt is derived from their reporting of balance of payments to Statistics Norway. Information on securities from the Norwegian CSD is also used to collect data on external debt.

A sample of non-financial enterprises is used for quarterly and annual surveys to derive their external debt. Enterprises of some size report data on their foreign debt. The samples cover about 90 per cent of total foreign assets and liabilities on a quarterly basis, and approximately 95 per cent of the annual surveys on average. For the non-financial corporations, the samples comprise approximately 650 enterprises on a quarterly basis and 2 700 enterprises annually.

Statistics Norway is responsible for collecting accounting data for banks, mortgage companies, financial corporations, insurance companies and pensions funds in collaboration with the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway and Norges Bank. In addition, Statistics Norway obtains data from the Norwegian Public Service Pension Fund, Export Credit Norway and the Norwegian CSD.

For the external part of C3, data from a sample of non-financial corporations’ debt are collected quarterly from their reporting of balance of payments data. Information about the households’ external debt is collected from their tax return.  

The figures for the external loan debt of the non-financial companies are quarterly data scaled up by using annual data. This is done by adding annual data from companies that do not report on a quarterly basis to the quarterly data. When scaling up quarterly data we use the latest completed yearly data. This year is called the base year. When publishing data for the fourth quarter, we change the base year. The base year is valid as of the fourth quarter corresponding to the base year. Companies who report annually and not quarterly is a group of residual companies that we use to scale up the quarterly external loan debt. Changing base year results in revisions in previously published data. If the change in base year causes the group of residual companies to have considerably larger or smaller external loan debt than before, growth and transaction series are adjusted, meaning that they are not affected by this change.

The editing of the financial corporations’ accounting statements is undertaken by Statistics Norway and the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway. The data from the Norwegian Public Service Pension Fund, Export Credit Norway and the Norwegian CSD are controlled by Statistics Norway. Manual controls are undertaken when the data on the general public’s external loan debt are received, and the database contains automatic control routines for content and logical coherence.

The policy is to disseminate changes of the previous month’s data together with the current month’s data. With every C2-release, the latest 25 periods of stock data and 13 periods of transaction and growth data are usually updated. Stocks are updated 10 periods with every C3-release. Similarly, transaction and growth series are usually updated 6 periods. Statistics Norway is fully prepared to edit in a timely manner, with appropriate notification to users and the media, should it be deemed necessary by the magnitude of a past error, or owing to other exceptional circumstances. Some of the reported data may contain preliminary data that are subsequently corrected. Different data sources have different reporting frequencies. The most recent data are used until there is new data available. Data from previous periods are revised when new data are included. Example: Pension funds rapport yearly. Last year’s data is used until new data is provided, usually in June the following year.

The credit indicators focus on transactions, and transaction and growth estimates are corrected for changes in stocks that are not due to new borrowings or repayments of loans. All growth rate calculations based on holdings that include foreign currency loans are corrected for exchange rate fluctuations to eliminate all changes not related to transactions. The growth rate calculations are also corrected for structural breaks that are not attributable to transactions or valuation changes. Examples of this kind of break could be that a financial corporation moves from one sector to another or an introduction of a new financial source.  From 2019/01 growth rates are corrected for confirmed losses. Changes in accounting principles may also cause breaks in time series. This calculation method means that there will not be full accord between the transaction figures and the changes in volume figures.

The seasonal adjustment of the credit indicator C2 is carried out using the method X12-Arima. Seasonal components are calculated for each release of data, meaning that seasonal adjusted stocks as well as monthly transactions and growth rates are updated.  The seasonal adjusted series for domestic debt in NOK, C1, is indirectly adjusted. This imply that the seasonal adjusted C1 is calculated as the sum of the three seasonal adjusted series C1-households, C1-non-financial corporations and C1-general government. The seasonal adjusted series for domestic debt in NOK and foreign currency, C2, is calculated as the sum of the unadjusted series for C2-foreign currency and the seasonally adjusted series for C1. For more information, see the bullet point “About seasonal adjustment”, further down on this page.  

Normally, the debt data will not be published if there is a risk of identification, i.e. that the figures can be traced back to the reporting unit. Exceptions here are Norges Bank and the Norwegian Public Service Pension Fund, who do not object to such identification.

The revision of international standards, major changes in accountancy laws and change of sectors may result in a gap in the time series data. We try as far as possible to correct for structural breaks in our calculations of transactions (break corrections).

The external loan debt statistics in their present form were collected by Statistics Norway for the first time in March 2005 (figures for January 2005).

Change in the statistics on banks and mortgage companies in 2018

The adjustment of ORBOF to IFRS (international Financial Reporting Standards) has led to a change in the statistics on banks and mortgage companies from January 2018. For the credit indicator statistics this implied that accrued interests and changes in value are now included with the underlying financial object. In addition to this, gross loans have replaced loans deducted for loan loss provisions. Net debt securities have replaced gross debt securities, meaning that own holdings of debt securities are deducted from gross debt securities. Finally, the method for adjusting transactions for fluctuations in exchange rates is changed in accordance with IMF’s standard. As of January 2018, the stock time series are not comparable with previous periods. Transaction and growth series are corrected for this break. Further details are given in this article.

Changed frequency for the C3 statistics in 2017

As of the reference period June 2017, the C3 statistics changed frequency from monthly to quarterly. The change in procedures imply a more automated approach to estimation of transactions in the external debt. This can cause some deviations in estimated changes in exchange rates compared to the transactions in the closed table nr. 07477 in the StatBank. Before, quarterly volume figures where used and these where reported by currency. As of the reference period June 2017, yearly data are utilised to estimate exchange rate revaluations that are incorporated into the transactions.

New institutional sector classification in 2012

As from January 2012, the Norwegian institutional sector classification has been revised in line with the international classification. This change implies a break in stock time series between February and March 2012.