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10206
Negative savings ratio for households
statistikk
2008-11-27T10:00:00.000Z
National accounts and business cycles
en
knri, National accounts, non-financial sector accounts, households, non-profit organisations, disposable income, disposable real income, saving rate, income, expenditures, savings, FISIM, net financial investments, dividendsNational accounts , National accounts and business cycles
false

National accounts, non-financial sector accountsQ3 2008

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Negative savings ratio for households

The household savings ratio was -0.1 per cent in the third quarter of 2008. Disposable income of households less dividends was 1.8 per cent higher in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the previous quarter, whereas the increase in real terms was only 0.4 per cent.

Real Household Disposable Income, unadjusted/adjusted Q1 2002-Q3 2008

Savings ratio, seasonally adjusted Q1 2002-Q3 2008

Statistics Norway will be publishing seasonal adjusted series starting with the third quarter 08. Check the left margin for more information on seasonal adjustment.

The increase in the households’ and NPISHs’ (non-profit institutions serving households) disposable income less dividends is due to the increase in both wages and salaries and property income received. Pensions and social contributions from the government sector was however 0.2 per cent lower than in the previous quarter. Seasonal adjusted figures also show a 2.6 per cent increase in the compensation of the employees compared to the previous quarter. Households’ property income was 8 per cent higher in the third quarter compared to the second quarter. The real disposable income therefore grew by 0.4 per cent from second quarter to the third quarter.

Interests paid as a ratio of disposable income - seasonally adjusted Q1 2002-Q3 2008

Savings - defined as disposable income minus final consumption expenditure and corrected - recorded minus NOK 4.9 billions in the third quarter of 2008. The household savings ratio during the first three quarters of 2008 was positive, about NOK 1 billion for 2008. Seasonal adjusted figures on the other hand, show a negative development starting with the fourth quarter of 2007. Household savings ratio is thus -0.1 per cent in the third quarter of 2008 compared with -0.8 per cent in the second quarter.

Interest paid as a ratio of disposable income has fluctuated in recent years as a consequence of the development in financial markets. For 2004 and 2005 the ratio is estimated to 6.5 and 6.1 per cent. Since 2005, both interest rates and households’ borrowing have increased gradually. For the second and third quarter of 2008 the ratio is estimated at 13.5 and 14.4 per cent.

Disposable income and savings ratio for households and NPISHs, seasonally adjusted
 
  Disposable
income
(2002=100)
Disposable
income
(2002=100)
Household
saving ratio
 
1st quarter 2006  113.9  106.7 1.0
2nd quarter 2006  114.6  107.3 -0.8
3rd quarter 2006  117.9  110.4 0.8
4th quarter 2006  118.0  110.5 -1.1
       
1st quarter 2007  121.6  113.1 0.9
2nd quarter 2007  122.6  113.9 0.4
3rd quarter 2007  124.4  115.7 0.5
4th quarter 2007  127.0  118.1 0.0
       
1st quarter 2008  127.3  115.6 -1.9
2nd quarter 2008  129.5  116.6 -0.8
3rd quarter 2008  131.5  117.1 -0.1
 

Revisions

Quarterly institutional sector accounts are based on preliminary calculations. The uncertainty is greater in the last quarter. New information is continuously integrated in the figures, which might cause revisions in the previously released data. Quarterly sector accounts are consolidated against the data from the quarterly national accounts data as well. When the last quarters of the unadjusted series are updated, seasonally adjusted series might be revised backwards as well.

 

The annual sector accounts 2006 are now revised.

 

Tables

Published tables