Energy prices increased in April

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The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 3.3 per cent in April, mainly due to higher prices on energy goods. While higher prices on natural gas and crude oil caused a rise in Norway’s PPI, lower prices on electricity curbed the overall growth somewhat.

The price of crude oil increased to above 70 USD per barrel in April and together with a relatively sharp increase in the price of natural gas this caused the overall increase in the PPI from March to April. While several factors influenced the development of the crude oil price, the increase in the price of natural gas could be influenced by the cold weather in Europe this winter.

The increase from March to April continues the trend in the PPI over the previous year, in which the PPI rose by approximately 12 per cent. The last time the PPI was at a similar level as April 2018, was during the early winter of 2014. That was also when the price of crude oil still was above 100 USD per barrel.

Another group of energy goods is electricity, which experienced a decline in prices of 6.5 per cent from March to April. Electricity prices tend to fall during spring months following higher levels during winter months. Prior to the fall in prices from March to April, electricity prices in the PPI rose continuously since October 2017, and are about 29 per cent higher than April 2017.

Energy goods excluded, the PPI remained about unchanged from March to April.

Figure 1. Price indices, 2010 = 100

Energy goods PPI total
Apr. 2014 128.1 119.4
May 2014 125.8 118.4
Jun. 2014 126.9 118.9
Jul. 2014 124.5 118.2
Aug. 2014 122.3 117.4
Sept. 2014 121.9 117.4
Oct. 2014 121.1 117.2
Nov.2014 113.8 113.9
Dec. 2014 113.1 114.2
Jan. 2015 101.8 109
Feb. 2015 106.2 111.3
Mar. 2015 109.3 112.8
Apr. 2015 109.7 112.8
May 2015 110 112.7
Jun. 2015 110.6 113.1
Jul. 2015 105.4 110.5
Aug. 2015 96.1 105.7
Sept. 2015 95.7 105.5
Oct. 2015 97 106.1
Nov.2015 96.9 106.6
Dec. 2015 87.7 101.8
Jan. 2016 79.5 97.3
Feb. 2016 74.5 94.7
Mars.2016 76.8 95.9
Apr. 2016 78.3 96.6
May 2016 83.1 99.3
Jun. 2016 88.6 102.1
Jul. 2016 89.2 102.5
Aug. 2016 85.8 100.7
Sept. 2016 83.8 99.1
Oct. 2016 88.6 101.3
Nov.2016 93.4 103.9
Dec. 2016 103.1 109.2
Jan. 2017 103.6 109.5
Feb. 2017 108.7 112.5
Mar. 2017 106.1 111.4
Apr. 2017 100.2 109
May 2017 97.6 108.1
Jun. 2017 92.1 105.4
Jul. 2017 89.7 104.3
Aug. 2017 91 104.8
Sept. 2017 98.1 107.8
Oct. 2017 104.6 110.4
Nov.2017 111 114
Dec. 2017 118.5 117.2
Jan. 2018 124.4 120.9
Feb. 2018 116.9 117.8
Mar. 2018 118.8 118.4
Apr. 2018 127.3 122.3

Small change within manufacturing

The prices within manufacturing as a whole were characterised by small price changes over the previous months, although they are still 4.3 per cent higher than in April 2017. The main part of this increase came in the period September 2017 to January 2018. During this period prices on important manufacturing products such as basic metals, refined petroleum products and basic chemicals grew. Prices of food product on the other hand have experienced continuous growth since October 2017. Together with refined petroleum products and non-metallic mineral products they made up an important contribution to the overall growth in manufacturing prices which rose 0.5 per cent from March to April.

Figure 2. Price index, 2015 = 100

Manufacturing
Apr. 2014 110.9
May 2014 111
Jun. 2014 111.6
Jul. 2014 112.3
Aug. 2014 112.8
Sept. 2014 112.2
Oct. 2014 111.9
Nov.2014 111.5
Dec. 2014 110.4
Jan. 2015 108.7
Feb. 2015 109.7
Mar. 2015 110.5
Apr. 2015 110.8
May 2015 111
Jun. 2015 111.2
Jul. 2015 111.3
Aug. 2015 110
Sept. 2015 108.7
Oct. 2015 109.1
Nov.2015 109.8
Dec. 2015 108.6
Jan. 2016 107.2
Feb. 2016 106.5
Mars.2016 106.7
Apr. 2016 107.5
May 2016 109.1
Jun. 2016 110.4
Jul. 2016 111.8
Aug. 2016 110.5
Sept. 2016 110
Oct. 2016 110.5
Nov.2016 111.5
Dec. 2016 112.3
Jan. 2017 114.5
Feb. 2017 116.6
Mar. 2017 116
Apr. 2017 116.4
May 2017 116.2
Jun. 2017 115.5
Jul. 2017 114.8
Aug. 2017 114.7
Sept. 2017 116.2
Oct. 2017 116.8
Nov.2017 118.1
Dec. 2017 120
Jan. 2018 121.1
Feb. 2018 121
Mar. 2018 120.8
Apr. 2018 121.4

 

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