Natural gas pulls PPI up

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The producer price index (PPI) increased by 4.1 per cent in October. The increase in price of natural gas was the most important contributor, while several industrial industries and electricity also increased.

The price of natural gas rose by almost 50 percent from September, while the oil price had a flat development. In total, this led to an increase in the index for extraction of crude oil and natural gas by 17.5 percent in October. The rise of natural gas prices, together with higher prices in several industrial industries and electricity, gas and steam, contributed to the increase in PPI of 4.1 percent in October.

Price increase on important metals continues

The metal industry continued its price rise in October by 1.4 percent, driven by higher export prices of important non-ferrous metals. This is the fourth month in a row that prices of non-ferrous metals have increased. The Norwegian krone continued to weaken against the dollar and euro in October. This may have affected the price of both aluminum and nickel, which increased by 4.7 percent and 4 percent measured in NOK, this month. As important exports, metal prices contributed to the overall increase in PPI for October.

Some other positive contributions to the rise in PPI in total was increased prices for chemical products and non-metallic mineral products, while refined petroleum products and food products went in the opposite direction.

Figure 1. Price index. 2015=100

Non-ferrous metals Manufacturing, total
Jan. 2015 107.15 98.91
Feb. 2015 105.17 99.78
Mar. 2015 108.92 100.54
Apr. 2015 105.23 100.79
May 2015 103.34 100.94
June 2015 102.97 101.09
July 2015 99.84 101.19
Aug. 2015 95.47 100.04
Sep. 2015 94.23 98.83
Oct. 2015 93.7 99.24
Nov. 2015 93.33 99.83
Dec. 2015 90.64 98.81
Jan. 2016 90.47 97.5
Feb. 2016 90.05 96.82
Mar. 2016 89.94 97.05
Apr. 2016 89.08 97.8
May 2016 88.89 99.23
June 2016 88.73 100.38
July 2016 93.38 101.7
Aug. 2016 96.41 100.52
Sep. 2016 94.26 100.04
Oct. 2016 92.33 100.55
Nov. 2016 95.62 101.39
Dec. 2016 99.76 102.1
Jan. 2017 101.8 104.12
Feb. 2017 101.62 106.06
Mar. 2017 105.55 105.53
Apr. 2017 107.6 105.84
May 2017 107.64 105.71
June 2017 105.4 105.02
July 2017 105.91 104.43
Aug. 2017 105.76 104.36
Sep. 2017 108.59 105.72
Oct. 2017 107.5 106.19
Nov. 2017 116.09 107.45
Dec. 2017 117.25 109.12
Jan. 2018 117.97 110.1
Feb. 2018 119.79 110.04
Mar. 2018 119.4 109.9
Apr. 2018 118.02 110.39
May 2018 122.18 112.81
June 2018 125.2 113.98
July 2018 122.88 113.87
Aug. 2018 120.03 113.46
Sep. 2018 119.09 113.56
Oct. 2018 117.26 115.04
Nov. 2018 117.49 114.85
Dec. 2018 116.47 113.12
Jan. 2019 117.71 112.51
Feb. 2019 118.78 113.64
Mar. 2019 121.23 114.03
Apr. 2019 120.16 114.88
May 2019 119.12 115.07
June 2019 117.87 114.17
July 2019 117.15 112.94
Aug. 2019 120.93 113.01
Sep. 2019 127.17 112.88
Oct. 2019 130.67 114.66
Nov. 2019 128.74 115.2
Dec. 2019 126.26 116.04
Jan. 2020 122.2 116.4
Feb. 2020 124.06 117.97
Mar. 2020 127.69 116.45
Apr. 2020 128.35 113.3
May 2020 124.64 111.35
June 2020 119.46 111.71
July 2020 120.59 112.63
Aug. 2020 122.69 112.67
Sep. 2020 125.95 112.71
Oct. 2020 128.65 113.03

Continued increase in domestic electricity prices

Prices on electricity have had increases since July, after decreases in the first six months. The October part of these increases has been modest, with an increase of 1.9 percent on the domestic market. For comparison, this increase was at 9.6 percent in September. At the export market, there was a decrease of 5 percent in October.

Figure 2. Price index. December 2019=100

Electricity, gas and steam - Domestic market Electricity, gas and steam - Export market
Dec. 2019 100.0 100.0
Jan. 2020 89.9 64.7
Feb. 2020 79.3 35.9
Mar. 2020 75.4 27.2
Apr. 2020 70.1 16.2
May 2020 73.6 25.0
June 2020 68.3 9.2
July 2020 67.4 6.8
Aug. 2020 70.4 25.1
Sep. 2020 77.1 45.6
Oct. 2020 78.6 43.3

In their weekly reports (in Norwegian), the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), writes that the prices increased early in October as a result of drier and colder weather. Later, this increase was dampened by mild weather and lower consumption. High wind power production in Europe has given lower system price on the common Nordic electricity exchange, which has resulted in cheap electricity from outside Norway. This led to the decreasing prices on the export market.

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