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National accounts and business cycles: Business cycles
All content for subtopic business cycles
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- Statistics (6)
- Publications and articles (223)
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Growing optimism in manufacturing
Norwegian industrial managers report a moderate increase in production in the first quarter. New orders and stock of orders also increase marginally. The general expectations for the second quarter of 2021 are also positive among most of the indus...
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Economic impact of COVID-19
Reports 2021/14
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COVID-19, Economic Cost and the Role of Fiscal Policy
Reports 2021/13
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Interest rate increases on the horizon
Activity in the Norwegian economy is expected to see a marked increase this summer as a result of the vaccination programme. The key policy interest rate is likely to return to the pre-pandemic level of 1.5 per cent in 2024.
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Slightly improved mood in manufacturing
Norwegian industrial managers report a slight increase in production in the fourth quarter. The growth comes from low levels after sharp falls in the level of activity in the first half of 2020 as a result of the corona pandemic. The general outlo...
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Economic Survey 3-2020
The Norwegian economy is once again impacted by some sectors of economic activity being shut down or severely reduced.
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Vaccination pushes up interest rates
From the summer of 2021, economic activity is expected to increase markedly, as the population is vaccinated and the impact of the pandemic diminishes. We expect a gradual rise in interest rates from mid-2021.
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Spillover-effects from the offshore petroleum to the mainland economy
Reports 2020/45
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Effects of reducing Norwegian extraction of oil and natural gas
Reports 2020/38
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Still weak figures in manufacturing
Norwegian industrial managers report a further downturn in the total production volume in the third quarter of the year. There is low numbers of new orders and major uncertainty related to the coronary pandemic. The general outlook for the four qu...
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Economic Survey 2-2020
The recovery of the Norwegian economy continues after the sharpest contraction in recent times. As a consequence of the outbreak of the coronavirus in Norway and subsequent lockdown of many activities,
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Better times in sight, but situation remains serious
The Norwegian economy is still trying to recover from its most extensive downturn in recent times, but activity is not expected to return to the pre-pandemic level until the end of 2021. We expect a gradual rise in interest rates from 2021.
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Downturn continues in manufacturing
Norwegian industrial managers report a further downturn in the total production volume in the second quarter of the year. Major uncertainty related to the coronary pandemic contributes to the general outlook for the third quarter of 2020 is charac...
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Economic Survey 1-2020
The outlook for the Norwegian economy has changed completely within a short space of time. The outbreak of the coronavirus and subsequent infection control measures have caused an enormous slowdown in the Norwegian economy since mid-March.
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Deep economic crisis – but some bright spots in sight
The Norwegian economy appears to be picking up after the country shut down in March, but lower international demand and low oil prices will impact on economic development for several years to come. We expect a gradual rise in interest rates from 2...
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