Discussion Papers no. 295

A state space approach for estimating VAR models for panel data with latent dynamic components

The econometric literature offers various modeling approaches for analyzing micro data in combination with time series of aggregate data. This paper discusses the estimation of a VAR model that allows unobserved heterogeneity across observation unit, as well as unobserved time-specific variables. The time-latent component is assumed to consist of a persistent and a transient term. By using a Helmert-type orthogonal transformation of the variables it is demonstrated that the likelihood function can be expressed on a state space form. The dimension of the state vector is low and independent of the time and cross section dimensions. This fact makes it convenient to employ an ECM algorithm for estimating the parameters of the model. An empirical application provides new insight into the problem of making forecasts for aggregate variables based on information from micro data.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

A state space approach for estimating VAR models for panel data with latent dynamic components

Ansvarlig

Arvid Raknerud

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 295

Utgiver

Statistics Norway, Research Department

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

43

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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