Discussion Papers no. 465
Axiomatization of stochastic models for choice under uncertainty
This paper develops a theory of probabilistic models for risky choices. Part of this theory can be viewed as an extension of the expected utility theory to account for bounded rationality. One probabilistic version of the Archimedean Axiom and two versions of the Independence Axiom are proposed. In addition, additional axioms are proposed of which one is Luce's Independence from Irrelevant Alternatives. It is demonstrated that different combinations of the axioms yield different characterizations of the probabilities for choosing the respective risky prospects. An interesting feature of the models developed is that they allow for violations of the expected utility theory known as the common consequence effect and the common ratio effect.
Om publikasjonen
- Tittel
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Axiomatization of stochastic models for choice under uncertainty
- Ansvarlig
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John K. Dagsvik
- Serie og -nummer
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Discussion Papers no. 465
- Utgiver
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Statistics Norway
- Emne
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Discussion Papers
- Antall sider
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50
- Målform
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Engelsk
- Om Discussion Papers
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Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.
Kontakt
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