Discussion Papers no. 221

Choice among lotteries when preferences are stochastic

This paper discusses the problem of specifying probabilistic models for choices (strategies) with uncertain outcomes. The point of departure is an extension of the axiom system of the von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected utility theory to the case when the preferences are stochastic. This extended axiom system is combined with Luce Choice Axiom; "Independence from Irrelevant Alternatives", and imply a particular choice model that contains the Luce model as a special case. An additional invariance assumption is subsequently proposed that yields a complete characterization of the mathematical structure of the model.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Choice among lotteries when preferences are stochastic

Ansvarlig

John K. Dagsvik

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 221

Utgiver

Statistics Norway, Research Department

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

24

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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