Discussion Papers no. 409

Choice under uncertainty and bounded rationality

This paper develops a theory for probabilistic models for risky choices that can be viewed as an extension of the expected utility theory to account for bounded rationality. One probabilistic version of the Archimedean Axiom and two versions of the Independence Axiom are proposed. In addition, additional axioms are proposed of which one is Luce's Independence from Irrelevant Alternatives. It is demonstrated that different combinations of the axioms yield different characterizations of the probabilities for choosing the respective risky prospects

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Choice under uncertainty and bounded rationality

Ansvarlig

John K. Dagsvik

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 409

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

41

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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