Discussion Papers no. 124

Criminometrics, latent variables, panel data, and different types of crime

A behavioural model of crime is developed and applied to panel data on the number of crimes and clear-ups for the 53 police districts in Norway for the period 1970-78. Data on both total crime and on 12 different types of crime is employed. The model consists of behavioural relations of the offenders and the police, and of measurement relations allowing for random and systematic errors in the registered crimes and clear-ups. A theoretical analysis reveals that the model is identified under certain conditions, and our empirical analysis supports the hypothesis that these conditions are satisfied. Detailed empirical results on deterrence elasticities and other structural parameters are presented.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Criminometrics, latent variables, panel data, and different types of crime

Ansvarlige

Jørgen Aasness, Terje Skjerpen, Erling Eide

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 124

Utgiver

Statistics Norway, Research Department

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

72

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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