Discussion Papers no. 601

Indirect inference methods for stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

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Åpne og les publikasjonen i PDF (37 sider)

This paper aims to develop new methods for statistical inference in a class of stochastic volatility models for financial data based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes. Our approach uses indirect inference methods: First, a quasi-likelihood for the actual data is estimated. This quasi-likelihood is based on an approximative Gaussian state space representation of the OU-based model. Next, simulations are made from the data generating OU-model for given parameter values. The indirect inference estimator is the parameter value in the OU-model which gives the best "match" between the quasi-likelihood estimator for the actual data and the quasi-likelihood estimator for the simulated data. Our method is applied to Euro/NOK and US Dollar/NOK daily exchange rates for the period 1.7.1989 until 15.12.2008. Accompanying R-package, that interfaces C++ code is documented and can be downloaded.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Indirect inference methods for stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

Ansvarlige

Arvid Raknerud, Øivind Skare

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 601

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

37

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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