Discussion Papers no 243
Modelling the demand for imports and domestic output
The paper models domestic output over imports in Norway’s expenditure on manufactures. Using Johansen’s (1988, 1991) method, we obtain a cointegrating vector between the output-imports ratio, relative prices and a proxy for international specialisation. This vector enters a conditional equilibrium correction model of the output-imports ratio; a model which also includes short-run influences of relative prices and a negative coefficient for domestic capacity utilisation. The utilisation coefficient aside, we do not find significant activity effects on the output-imports ratio. Lastly, the model passes several tests of the Lucas critique.
Om publikasjonen
- Tittel
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Modelling the demand for imports and domestic output
- Ansvarlig
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Bjørn E. Naug
- Serie og -nummer
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Discussion Papers no 243
- Utgiver
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Statistics Norway, Research Department
- Emne
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Discussion Papers
- Antall sider
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30
- Målform
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Engelsk
- Om Discussion Papers
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Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.
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