Discussion Papers no. 341

A computable general equilibrium study

Quantifying central hypotheses on Environmental Kuznets Curves for a rich economy

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We investigate whether the future relationships between several pollutants and per capita income in rich countries may assume the inverted U-forms of Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKC). The emission-augmenting effect of scaling up aggregate economic activity may be counteracted by greener composition of production and consumption, technological progress, and increased demand for environmental quality and policy. To quantify the importance of these central hypotheses, we use a CGE model with endogenous policy for Norway. Our results suggest significant future effects of all these three counteracting mechanisms. For most local and regional pollutants, they may be strong enough to prolong the falling emission trends. However, we cannot rely on reductions in emissions of climate gases and some transport-related local pollutants. Our results also indicate that pollution leakages abroad are likely to find place.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Quantifying central hypotheses on Environmental Kuznets Curves for a rich economy. A computable general equilibrium study

Ansvarlige

Annegrete Bruvoll, Birger Strøm, Taran Fæhn

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 341

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

35

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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