Discussion Papers no. 226

Tests based on Norwegian export prices

Rational expectations in price setting

This paper uses imperfect competition as a basis for modelling the export price for an aggregated commodity produced by the Norwegian private mainland economy. The long run solution is analysed using a cointegration technique. The dynamics are modelled according to two different approaches; a backward looking error correction model and a forward looking model where rational expectations are assumed. The dynamic structure of the forward looking model is derived from a linear quadratic adjustment cost function under rational expectations, but the empirical results do not support this specification. We cannot reject super-exogeneity to be present in the backward looking error correction model. The empirical evidence are thus not consistent with rational expectations.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Rational expectations in price setting. Tests based on Norwegian export prices

Ansvarlig

Ingvild Svendsen

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 226

Utgiver

Statistics Norway, Research Department

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

34

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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