Discussion Papers no. 129

Testing rational expectations in vector autoregressive models

Assuming that the solutions of a set of restrictions on the rational expectations of future values can be represented as a vector autoregressive model, we study the implied restrictions on the coefficients. Nonstationary behavior of the variables is allowed, and the restrictions on the cointegration relationships are spelled out. In some interesting special cases it is shown that the likelihood ratio statistic can easily be computed.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Testing rational expectations in vector autoregressive models

Ansvarlige

Søren Johansen, Anders Rygh Swensen

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 129

Utgiver

Statistics Norway, Research Department

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

16 bl.

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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