Discussion Papers no. 379

Are lower gas prices attainable?

The future European natural gas market

We analyse effects of various natural gas supply scenarios in a liberalised Western European energy market in 2010. Our starting point is the uncertainties about future natural gas exports from Russia and LNG-producing countries. Our results indicate that the average natural gas producer price in Western Europe is likely to be higher in 2010 than the average historical price the last 15 years, even in an optimistic supply scenario. We find only modest effects on both average natural gas producer prices and trade patterns of radical changes in supply volumes. However, there are significant country specific differences, primarily related to the reliance on Russian gas exports and the use of gas fired power generation

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

The future European natural gas market. Are lower gas prices attainable?

Ansvarlige

Eirik Lund Sagen, Finn Roar Aune

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 379

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

33

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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