Discussion Papers no. 732

The tug-of-war between resource depletion and technological change in the global oil industry 1981 - 2009

We perform an empirical analysis of the extent to which ongoing technological change through R&D activity has offset the effect of ongoing depletion on the cost of finding additional reserves of oil in eight global regions.

We perform an empirical analysis of the extent to which ongoing technological change through R&D activity has offset the effect of ongoing depletion on the cost of finding additional reserves of oil in eight global regions. We introduce a finding cost function that among other factors depends on the cumulative number of past R&D expenses and cumulative past production, measuring technological change and depletion, respectively. For all our regions we find significant effects of both depletion and technological change on oil finding costs from 1981 to 2009, barring cyclical variations in finding costs that could come from changes in factor prices. For almost all regions technology more than mitigated depletion until around the mid-nineties. However, we find that depletion outweighed technological progress over the last decade.

About the publication

Title

The tug-of-war between resource depletion and technological change in the global oil industry 1981 - 2009

Author

Lars Lindholt

Series and number

Discussion Papers no. 732

Publisher

Statistics Norway

Topic

Discussion Papers

ISSN

1892-753X

Number of pages

20

Language

Engelsk

About Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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