Content
Published:
This is an archived release.
Stable labour market
The decrease in employment seems to have come to a stop. There were only small changes in the unemployment rate from September to December 2009.
After a period of decline the employment level increased by 9000 persons from September (as measured by the average of the months from August to October) to December (as measured by the average of the months from November to January). This is within the error margin of the Labour force survey (LFS), but is at the same time consistent with the latest period’s trend, which indicates that the decline in the employment has come to a stop.
Unemployment remained stable
The season adjusted unemployment rate was 3.3 per cent in December (as measured by the average of the months from November to January), up 0.1 percentage points (3 000 persons) from September (as measured by the average of the months from August to October). This is within the error margin of the LFS.
The unemployment rate of November (as measured by the average of the months from October to December) was revised up from 3.2 to 3.3 per cent.
I comparison, seasonally-adjusted figures for those registered unemployed with the Labour and Welfare Organisation (NAV) rose by about 1 000 from September to December. Including persons on government initiatives to promote employment there was a total increase of 4 000. These figures have also been adjusted for seasonal variations.
NAV reports that 4 700 persons were incorrectly registered unemployed in February 2010. The erroneous figure was lower in previous months, but dates back to October 2008.This has no consequence for the LFS-numbers published by Statistics Norway, only for the comparisons with NAV's figures. Read more on NAV's website, or contact stein.langeland@nav.no |
Unemployment still rising in Europe
In the period September to December, unemployment continued to rise in Europe. Denmark saw an increase of 0.9 percentage points, the unemployment rate in Denmark is now 7.4 per cent. In the EU-15 countries, the unemployment rate rose by 0.2 percentage points, ending at 9.6 per cent. In France unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points, ending at 10.0 per cent of the labour force in December. All figures refer to seasonally-adjusted data from Eurostat .
The labour force is the sum of employed and unemployed between 16-74 years of age. From September to December the employment rose by 9 000, while there is an increase of unemployment of 3 000. This gives an increase in the labour force of 12 000. The coherence between the conceptsUnemployed + Employed = Labour force Labour force + Outside the labour force = Population |
Employment and unemployment figures include permanent residentsThe LFS only includes persons who are registered as residents in the population register. Persons working in Norway who are not registered as permanent residents or who are planning to stay for less than six months are not included in the employment figure in the LFS. If these people lose their job it does not count as a fall in employment or a rise in unemployment. In national accounts figures (NR), employed non-residents are included in the employment figure as long as they work in an establishment in Norway. If employment decreases in this group it will count as a fall in employment in NR. Statistics Norway publishes separate figures for all registered non-residents once a year. See short-term immigrants . |
Uncertain figuresThe purpose of making seasonal adjustments is to describe the development over the last year, corrected for seasonal variations. In order to reduce uncertainty, the published series are three-month moving averages of the seasonally-adjusted figures. However, uncertainty means that sampling errors must be considered when interpreting the figures from the LFS. We normally compare the latest non-overlapping three-month periods. An overview of sampling errors in the LFS can be found in “ About the statistics ”, chapter 5 section 3. |
Quarterly LFS figures, not seasonally adjusted, are presented in a separate article . |
Revisions
The complete time series is re-estimated each month, and this may cause some adjustments of previously published figures. See Revisions for more information .
Tables:
The statistics is published with Labour force survey.
Contact
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Arbeidsmarked og lønn
E-mail: arbeidsmarked@ssb.no
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Erik Herstad Horgen
E-mail: erik.horgen@ssb.no
tel.: (+47) 93 08 68 62