Significant asset gains increase government holdings

Published:

At the close of 2019 general government’s net financial assets totaled NOK 11 800 billion, an increase of NOK 1 850 billion since 2018.

Updated figures from General government, financial assets and liabilities attribute the combined increase in central and local government to large asset gains. Surplus on the government account added NOK 232 billion of the total increase, while asset gains on equities, bonds, and other financial instruments equaled a total of NOK 1 619 billion.

Petroleum revenues less important

The accumulation of financial wealth that has taken place in general government in the last 25 years tracks the guidelines for government fiscal policy and petroleum management. Petroleum revenue accrued to the central government through taxes and dividends from the petroleum sector is transferred in its entirety to the Government Pension Fund Global, thus directly adding to the government’s financial wealth. The budgetary rules allow for use of the Pension Fund to cover the mainland budget deficit, albeit limited to the estimated long-term real return on the Fund’s investments.  

Prior to 2012, the increase in government financial assets was mainly a result of large oil revenues. Between 1995 and 2012, the government holdings increased by NOK 4 700 billion. The contribution to this increase from petroleum revenues alone exceeded 80 per cent. Since then, these receipts have declined, while the return on equities and bonds has been substantial. Between 2012 and 2019, government assets further increased by NOK 6 800 billion, three fourths of which ascribed to asset appreciation. Petroleum receipts accounted for the remaining one fourth.      

Figure 1. Accumulated change in net financial assets of general government

Revaluations Surplus (excl. petroleum revenue) Petroleum revenue
1995 -1 -9 40
1996 25 -19 110
1997 66 -8 188
1998 89 3 228
1999 134 -2 292
2000 217 15 488
2001 275 67 675
2002 57 36 835
2003 246 -35 1004
2004 339 -44 1223
2005 636 -64 1519
2006 812 -35 1881
2007 694 58 2195
2008 161 111 2617
2009 430 94 2880
2010 643 86 3172
2011 501 75 3542
2012 646 89 3939
2013 1664 89 4272
2014 2843 65 4563
2015 3703 70 4748
2016 3727 70 4877
2017 4732 45 5065
2018 4225 43 5347
2019 5844 35 5587

Large equity holdings

The combined value of central and local government gross assets amounted to NOK 13 500 billion at the end of 2019Q4. Liabilities totaled NOK 1 660 billion. The net asset value of NOK 11 800 billion amounts to more than triple the GDP. The asset-to-GDP ratio has doubled since 2010 and tripled since 2004.  

Total financial assets comprise 75 per cent shares and other equities in 2019. The Pension Fund Global’s holdings of foreign equities constitute a significant portion of the total mass. Also included therein are shares and capital injections in partially and fully government-owned companies, such as Equinor, Telenor, DNB, and Statkraft.

Figure 2. Net financial assets in general government

Shares and other equity Debt securities and loans Deposits and other accounts receivable
1997 28.6 5.6 18.6
1998 35.6 7.6 15.0
1999 38.2 7.8 15.8
2000 40.4 10.8 20.3
2001 50.1 20.7 17.0
2002 45.5 22.2 14.7
2003 56.6 22.8 17.6
2004 58.6 30.6 16.0
2005 69.1 36.0 17.9
2006 75.1 42.2 18.7
2007 82.5 40.5 17.6
2008 70.8 39.7 14.0
2009 105.2 34.5 15.1
2010 110.7 38.1 15.4
2011 104.5 41.4 14.3
2012 112.0 41.0 16.7
2013 139.8 53.9 14.1
2014 166.8 67.4 15.1
2015 192.4 78.7 14.3
2016 199.4 74.7 17.4
2017 221.4 69.5 18.5
2018 201.8 61.8 18.8
2019 249.4 65.1 19.6